One who neglects the committed voters and pampers the uncertain voters meets doom: Panchtanta.

Yo dhruvani parityajya adhruvani nishevate। dhruvani tasya nashyanti adhruvam nashtameva hi.

Had this Sanskrit niti shloka at all been observed by Sushil Modi during recent Bihar election, it would have saved the Bihar Assembly for BJP. There was a committed vote segment of the Upper Castes and the Bania in Bihar which by itself could achieve the majority of the assembly seats. This vote bank was supplemented by the voter of OBC and Dalits in selected constituencies owing to local factors. For example, in Kumharar (Central Patna) Koeris and Nishad vote for BJP owing to the complicated demography with the Muslim population in that area. Other than this type of locations, the OBCs never vote for the BJP. Banias, although belonging to the OBC in Bigar, now vote in favour of the BJP primarily because they suffered from the jungle raj the most and all their business had been ruined during the Laloo raj. Moreover Susil Modi, Narendra Modi both being Banias the Bania caste identifies itself much better with BJP today than it did 20 years back in Bihar politics.

Completely ignoring that the Bhumihar, Maithil Brahmin, other Brahmins, Rajputs and Kayastha have shown 100% commitment to the BJP in the last 10 years, Sushil Modi preferred to ignore and humiliate these cases. Once he said in the Patna level meeting of Upper Caste workers of Patna region, “You like me or not, you have no other option but to vote for BJP, for the simple reason that you know that if Laloo comes he will torment you again.”

Such had been the confidence of Sushil Modi over the hypothesis that the upper castes fear the Laloo so much that they will never vote the RJD or any of its allies. It is true that they (the upper castes) would not vote in favour of RJD yet they could influence the results by being aggressive voters or by choosing to sit frustrated at home without going to the voting booth. This the latter thing took place ultimately in this recent election.

No rallies of any upper caste leader was allowed by BJP. Only Nand Kishore Yadav and Sushil Modi himself attended all rallies. Narendra Modi was prompted and forced to speak out shameless things which only Laloo dared speak in the past. I am a backward. Reservation is constitutional right. Reservation will continue… things like that did not behove well of Narendra Modi. He had so far been considered a politician above caste politics. However his castist campaign tarnished his high impression a lot.

In fact this election campaign witnessed Jetli-ization of Narendra Modi and Laloo-ization of Sushil Modi.

in a nutshell the election campaign of the BJP was defective because it ignored its staunch supporters and brutalized them while pampering its uncertain votes.

Other vices too existed. Doling out seats to Rambilas and Upendra Kushwaha reduced the contested seats by BJP and 95% of the candidates put up by Rambilas, Upendra Kushwaha nad Manjhi lost. Only five won out of some 85 seats. This loss was not necessary. BJP should have not given any seats to these parties in the 2014 Lok Sabha itself, because these parties did not have any support in the masses but they won because of the wave in favour of Narendra Modi.

The candidates given by Sushil Modi were of extremely poor quality. More than half had criminal cases. It was well understood by masses that the tickets had been sold for heavy prices.

Thus apart from the fear of Laloo coming back to power, there was nothing to motivate the Bani and Upper caste voters to feel enthusiastic about the election and took pains to come out to vote in favour of the BJP.

Thus we can say that the ancient book of political training “Panchtantra” and “Hitopadesha” has today not only relevant but also essential for any politician who wishes to survive in politics of 21st Century India. Clearly, by ignoring

the niti-shloka

“Yo dhruvani parityajya adhruvani nishevate। dhruvani tasya nashyanti adhruvam nashtameva hi”, Sushil Modi dig his own political grave.

The Land Bill will criminalize the farmers all over India

The Land Bill will criminalize the farmers all over India

Without going into the details of every bit, in a nutshell we can say that after this bill has been passed, the prices of land all over India will increase. As the food-grain prices will remain almost the same as they are, farmers will prefer to sell land and eat that money as they are doing today in Najafgarh and Haryana.

For example the price of fertile agricultural land in my village located in Vaishali District of Bihar was fifty rupees per square yard until five years back. By the rumours of four time compensation and possibility of arriving industries, it has gone up to rupees five hundred per square yard. As soon as the proposed bill is passed the price of such land will grow to several thousand rupees per square yard, as they have gone up in Haryana and Rajasthan.

Its implications are grave. For example, I staying at Delhi and my farming land is located in Bihar. about a decade back about 1000 square yards of my land was encroached upon and captured by an adjoining farmer. The offender belonged to my clan and I just ignored the issue thinking that well, the price of the encroached land values about 50,000/- which is much less than what I will have to spend in recovering my land which will involve making a few visits to Bihar as well as the legal fees.

However when the price of the same encroached piece of land will become Rs 20,00,000/- @ Rs 2000/- per square yard, I may like to spend even Rs. 5,00,000/- to get it back. The entire psychology changes.

It has been found that most of the murders committed in Haryana are because of such land disputes. High prices of land promote land disputes and crimes associated with them. Therefore before passing such law, it is essential that a fast land-dispute redressal mechanism be put in place.

At present the land disputes are cleared by passing through several levels which takes more than 30 years in Bihar. Another 30 years are taken to clear the appeal by the High Court. The criminal offence remains the only avenue available to the affected and aggrieved party.

Moreover, there is no process of fixing the boundaries of the individual land holdings vis-à-vis the map published by the land revenue department for each plot of land. This is the cause of most of the disputes. The employees appointed for this in Revenue Circles are so less in number that they cannot do it at all. Thus, the appointment of properly trained land-measurement staff called “ameens” in adequate numbers in each Land Revenue Circle (or Block) is essential before such Land Law is put into the book.

The next issue is alcoholism and goondaism. When the cheap money comes by selling the land, most of the farmers sell their lands to acquire posh house, big cars (like Bolero and Scorpio) and start drinking regularly. Alcoholism has been proven to have criminalizing effect on humans. Thus the rural folk would become alcoholic and criminalized after this Land Bill is passed. They will have enough money to buy pistols. They will have enough money to bribe the police every time they commit crime. Easy money to idle lives produces criminal and feudal attitudes. Honour killings will become common. Female infanticide will become common and affordable ton these feudalized persons.

The entire social structure will get deformed. India will become just like the wild west of India.

Q.E.D.

Expulsions of the bad elements good for AAP

What Kejriwal has done was something very much needed. Prashant Bhushan, Yogendra Yadav, Medha Patkar are the type of people Indian mainstream dislikes. In the long run such people would have not only damaged the image of the party but also would have not let Kejriwal work smoothly.

As the Modi is failing to deliver his obligations, Indian people will soon start searching for his replacement. If Kejriwal builds up his credibility, he can be next option for Prime-Minister-ship for the Indian masses. Therefore he needs to build up his credibility.

A leader of the nation should be autonomous, to be only controlled by the basic rules of ethics, cultural norms, laws of the land and the Constitution. Any other string pulling on him prevents him from becoming the type of nation builder Mustafa Kamal Ataturk, Napoleon and Lenin were.

Narendra Modi’s condition is worse than Manmohan Singh. Manmohan was controlled by only Sonia Gandhi. But Narendra Modi has to work under the constant control of Mohan Bhagwat, Suresh Soni and Dattatrey. Other controllers of the Prime-Minister are Arun Jaitley and Nitin Gadkari. The best option for Narendra Modi would have been to split the party soon after he took the oath of Prime-Minister-ship. Nothing of what he wished he could do.

Had Arun Shourie been the Finance Minister as per Modi’s wishes, the Land-Acquisition Bill would not have been in the anti-people shape it is. Had Modi’s wish to appoint Subrahmanyam Swami the Education Minister been accepted by his masters, the developments in the HRD would have been of a different quality. These days Modi does not speak much. And it is the silence of the lamb. And it is not good.

By feeing himself from the low quality people, Kejriwal has done something which only Indira Gandhi dared do by facing the splits in the party on three occasions in her political career. First split was after the election of Sanjeeva Reddy as the President of India. Second split was when Jagjivan Ram formed the Congress for Democracy party and the third split was when soon after the emergency, the then Congress President Reddy expelled her from the Congress party. Then she formed the Congress (Indira) or Congress (I) party.

The current crisis in the AAP is for the good and Kejriwal should go ahead with his plans.

No Lessons after the rapes

The government has taken no lesson even after the rape. No CCTV cameras have been installed on the roads, although it costs peanuts. Moreover the public pays for such expenses.

Nitin Gadkari had announced soon after he became minister that there would be CCTV cameras on the roads of Delhi. But where are they?

Clearly such cameras would lead to correct identification of the perpetrators of crime. Then the police will not have the discretion it enjoys. Police staff today flourish on the bribe given by the criminals. The car, flats, expensive liquor and many more things come to the police personnel from the bribe given by the criminals. The well being of the policemen depends on the crime and the criminals. No crime, no bribe, and that means miserable life.

It is because of this that the police have a deep love and gratitude for the criminals. Therefore anyone who protests against the crime and the criminals earns the wrath of the police, as can be seen in the documentary. Police lathicharging those who protest rape.

Just like a doctor feels happy to get a patient, a police officer gets happy to know about a crime. The patient pays fees to the doctor. The criminal pays fees to the police.

This is precisely the reason why the CCTV cameras will never be installed in Delhi.

Undesirable Censorship

The BBC documentary India’s Daughter has nothing wrong in it so as to warrant it to be banned. The whole incident of banning the documentary is ugly in the sense that it will only picture India in the bad colour.

The civil society must come out in protest and display the documentary in Delhi in defiance of the ban. People must come out in protest of the gag order. It is not a ban order against the BBC or the documentary, but against the Indian people’s right to get accurate information.

When the police was brutally assaulting the demonstrators/ protesters after the Nirbhaya incident I had predicted that the blows will prove to be the nails in the coffin of the Congress Government.

Delhi Waterloo 2015: Causes for BJP’s Defeat

Do not blame it to Kiran Bedi

The foremost name in the BJP’s list for 2015 Delhi Assembly elections (constituency number 1) was a class ten pass shopkeeper. Going down the list one finds many more persons with similar credentials. Some had police cases in addition. Barring a handful all were cunning, manipulative and crooked with unimpressive histories. Barring the select few, the BJP candidates just looked like a bag of rotten potatoes, not at all suitable to represent Delhi–the aspirant city for becoming the world capital of future. It is foolish to imagine that such faces should inspire hope in the people of Delhi to whom the change in the political culture of India stands as the paramount concern of the time.

It is unreasonable to believe that the voting pattern of the 2014 Lok Sabha election in Delhi could have been repeated. The BJP supporters (33% of votes) and the non-BJP personal supporters of Narendra Modi (13% of votes) both had added then to 46%. The latter, i.e. non-BJP supporter but supporters of Nerendra Modi, would not vote for any Tom, Dick and Harry just because he had the BJP symbol, while the committed BJP voter (33%-32%) would do.

This volatile ‘personal’ voter segment of the charismatic leaders (13% in this case) is the New Age phenomenon of Indian democracy. The New Age voting pattern reflects the sensibility of a sincere, genuine and aware modern Indian who seeks to discover value, meaning and hope, and a certain abstract order in the systems of the world including country, state, work-place, market, society and family. This vote segment floated over to Kejriwal as his personal vote rather than to AAP in 2015. For retaining this vote bank Kiran Bedi should have been declared the Chief-Ministerial candidate of BJP way back in mid-2014, rather than a couple of weeks before the election. By this time the votes had already migrated from BJP and to Kejriwal, as had become clear from the opinion polls. An earlier show of a new and better state team as well as better quality candidates could have helped BJP in retaining this vote segment.

The much hyped state leader Harshvardhan was good for nothing. BJP had lost the 2013 Assembly under his leadership compounded by a loss of 3% share of votes from 36% in 2008 to 33% in 2013. This speaks how much hope people of Delhi had from Harshvardhan in 2013. The 2015 was the fifth consecutive defeat of BJP in the Delhi Assembly elections. Harshvardhan, V.K. Goyal, V.K. Malhotra, Jagdish Mukhi etc had been all along prominent faces during the sequential defeats when the percentage of votes hovered between 36% and 32%. The wins of BJP in the MCD have different story where BSP and independents take away more than half of the votes.

The traditional vote bank politics too was operative in a good segment of vote-bank in 2015. The 1998 understanding of the Congress Party with Laloo’s RJD had produced a stable vote bank for Congress by acquisitioning OBC segment of the Bihari voters of Delhi (about 20% votes of Delhi). This adjustment brought share of votes of Congress from 34.5% in 1993 to 55% for Congress and RJD combine. This was one of the main compulsions of Sonia Gandhi in supporting Laloo in Bihar. Thus Congress enjoyed an exclusive vote bank of Muslims, Bangladeshi immigrants, Christians, Bihari-OBC–RJD supporters, Scheduled castes (if no BSP candidate contesting), and also a good section of Gujjars, Jats, Punjabis and Sharma.

Contrasting this, BJP has a much narrow exclusive support base of Bania and Bihari upper caste, and majority of Jat voters. Punjabi, Gujjar and Sharma also vote for BJP to some extent. Yet, BJP has been giving tickets only the Jat, Bania, Punjabi, Gujjar and Sharma communities, and ignoring all others over the years. The demography of Delhi has vastly changed. People of Bihar, followed by Uttarakhand, UP, Bengal, Odisha, Northeast and South are to be found in significant numbers now. The BJP gave near nil or nominal representation to the people of this diaspora class. BJP leaders of Delhi in general have shown dislike for this group of people. Gadkari openly sides with Raj Thakre. BJP has never raised hue and cry whenever the Biharis have been belaboured in Maharashtra’s roads by MNSsupporters.  You cannot afford to be callous and get votes too.

BJP has not shown any active interest in penetrating the diaspora vote segment. In the Bihari diasporas the OBC and Upper Castes have opposite voting patterns, one going along the Laloo-line and the other against it. But if the candidate is Bihari, both vote for him. By distributing plenty of tickets to the Biharis, AAP has been able to woo this large vote bank to its favour, a point of political prudence which BJP lacked severely.

BJP committed grave mistakes. It allowed enough time to Kejriwal to recover and make a comeback. Had this election been held six months back, Arwind Kejriwal would not have had time to recover. The hesitation of the Delhi State BJP in facing an early election was a disaster for the BJP. People perceived it as attempt at horse-trading. Now BJP central leadership must punish those BJP state-leaders who were trying to delay the elections last year.

When the people had just started discounting Arwind from their minds, Gadkari brought him back to the media focus by dragging him to Court and even making him stay in jail for a few days, for the politically minor sin of having pronounced Gadkari ‘corrupt’. Gadkari is not appreciated by the Biharis for his good relationship with MBS, and they only felt sympathetic to Kejriwal.

Kejriwal has the credibility of being an IITian and and a former IRS, and is considered honest by most of the people. He has the IQ (reflected from the IIT and Civil Service performance) which Harshwardhan and others do not have. And Indian culture respects IQ. Great leaders of high IQ only can salvage a nation. Harshwardhan tarnished his own image as health minister, when the prices of medicines were raised.

As more time was allowed to him, Kejriwal understood his earlier mistakes and made necessary changes in his strategy. This time he kept a safe distance from the Naxals and people considered off the track and supporters of terrorism. He just did not utter the world “secularism” any more. He did not cry at all over the few hundred suicides of farmers in Gujarat. Far more farmers have died each year in other states. He used “Bharat Mata Ki Jai” and “Vande Mataram”. This improved his image as a patriot. He kept safe distance from Prashant Bhushan who is seen as supporter of Kashmiri sepatarists. Such changes brought about a sea change in the perception of Kejriwal by the masses.

Administering Delhi during the President’s Rule was the responsibility of the Home Minister. During this period the state of affairs in Delhi remained as poorly as it had been during the Sheila Regime. BJP should have brought some strong anti-corruption ordinance in Delhi and also at the national level to pre-empt the main poll plank of the AAP. The Delhi Government’s attitude remained anti-People during the President’s Rule. Delhi Police remained anti-people and pro-criminal, pro-mafia.

Thus BJP missed the chance. Many people could now think that the BJP was not keen on rooting out corruption from the country. It was not keen on installing CCTV cameras on the traffic lights. It was not keen on making harder laws against drunk driving. It was not keen on punishing harder those who ruthlessly and recklessly crush pedestrians on roads. Commissioner Bassi had not been able to deliver what was needed.

On the other had, law is on the anvil to legalize the illegal properties of the big people in Sainik Farms etc, something which even Manmohan Singh had refused to do. Why and who in BJP does propose such popularity lowering and image-tarnishing programmes?

People perceived the Finance Minister as reluctant to pursue the Swiss Bank probe. This all added to the negative image of BJP. Hence the results of this election cannot be explained in terms of projection of Kiran Bedi or frustration of Harshvardhan or both. These are all false explanations given by the false masters of politics.

No one should forget that in Delhi Assembly 2013 Election, Harshwardhan as the Chief-Ministerial candidate could get only 33% votes of the people of Delhi.

Why Adwani met the Waterloo in 2009

Why Advani lost 2009 election for Prime-Ministership?

Mr L.K. Advani had as good an image among the lay masses as Narendra Modi has today. However he lost the prime-ministerial opportunity on two consecutive opportunities 2004 and 2009. In 2009 debacle required a hard effort by him to lose votes, how?

There were things he should have done but he did not do. Then there were things he should not have done but he did. Some of these are:

1. He should have announced that Narendra Modi would be his Home Minister, if the BJP was sent to power. People were fed up with terrorism and they wanted a tough person to tackle the menace of terrorism.
2. He should have announced that K.P.S. Gill would be the National Security Advisor.
3. He should have kept himself away his four pillars of failures namely Rajnath Singh, Arun Jaitley, Sushma Swaraj and Annant Kumar. These four were not seen as good people even by the BJP’s voters. Rajnath had no commitment to the casteless politics, something which Advani Ji had followed and nurtured in the party working with casteless people of the previous generation like Krishna Lal Sharma etc. Rajnath Singh’s pro-OBC mentality (“OBC only can send to power”) and in this mentality his attempts to woo Mulayam Singh was not liked by the BJP voters who came mainly from the upper castes.
4. People of India did not like these four people. Other faces in his team which did not inspire the voters included, Vijay Kumar Goyal, Malhitra, Harshwardhan etc murda-type personalities.
5. Advani had expelled the people who had any mass base. Uma Bharati, Madan Lal Khurana were out. Govindacharya was out of politics. Subrahmanyam Swami was out. Arun Shourie was out of purview for any ministerial considerations. In fact he was not even given ticket. Jagmohan was invisible. So the people who could inspire people were not visible in the team of Advani.

Advani was now known by the company he kept. The hate for the people in his closest company gradually got transformed into the hate for Advani Ji. Because of his over reliance on the four leaders, he gradually eroded much of his own authority and strength and ceded them to these four. Now he derived power from these four, although initially these four had derived power from him. But these four were no mass-leaders.

A personal level opinion survey done by me has shown that the BJP-without-Narendra-Modi did not have a good image in the minds of public even in 2014, and the Congress would have won if NaMo had not arrived in the arena and these four had remained the main face of the party in 2014 elections. The people surrounding Advani were considered corrupt and power hungry. It was found that Advani was often too weak. He showed his strength to expel Khurana, or Uma Bharati or Jaswant Singh. These were honest people and commanded respect of the masses. However Advani could never take any action against his own four supporters.

Advani did not show any strength against Mukhtar Abbas Naqwi when he gave the infamous “lipstick, powder” statement during the Mumbai terrorist attack. Had Advani expelled him from the party for his “insensitivity”, his public image would have gone much higher.

When Raj Thakare was attacking the Biharis in Mumbai, Advani did not open his lips against this, although the Congress gave statement against this. The active pro-OBC politics which Rajnath was pursuing had alienated the upper castes in UP. Advani did not do anything to curb Rajnath’s senseless castist politics. This caused much damage to BJP support base.

However, the image of the BJP got transformed when the signal was given that Narendra Modi will be the next Prime-Ministerial candidate.

Narendra Modi was seen as a man of paurush, a valiant person. He is seen as a human-lion, something like the image of nara-simha. Such a man was needed to cure the Indian corrupt politics and bureaucracy. People did not see much strength in Advani.

People wanted change—change in system, change in mechanism, change in laws. Modi could deliver these.

Had Advani surrounded by this “coterie of four” come to power, nothing would have changed. For future, bad BJP people like Sushil Modi etc need to be sorted out and better people placed even in the states if Narendra Modi wants to fulfil the promises he has made to himself and his mother—to take India to the number one place in the world.

The BJP of Pre-Narendra era had failed to show its intention to bring about any institutional change in India. The Anti-Defection Law was brought about by Rajiv Gandhi. The Right to Information law was brought about by Sonia Gandhi. These two have proved to be the biggest hurdles to the political masters of India in their berserk behaviours.

On the other hand, the old BJP when in power enacted the Constitution Amendment Bill to neutralize the Supreme Court’s order quashing the reservations for OBC in promotions.

We can remember that Bajpayi’s government criticised the Supreme Court for passing the directive to the Government for introducing the electoral reforms and for making the criminal politicians in-eligible to fight elections. Supreme Court had taken initiatives for reform in the electoral system which brought criminals to parliament and to power. But Bajpayi govt preferred to humiliate the court on the floor of the Parliament by stating that the Supreme Court had crossed the Lakshaman Rekha. On several occasions, Supreme Court’s arms were twisted by the BJP government. These all incidents, and many more happened brazenly when BJP was in power, gradually convincing the masses that the BJP was no better than the congress.

Mistakes Kejriwal should never have committed

Kejriwal’s Mistakes which proved very expensive to him

1. Arwind Kejriwal started gimmicks the day he won elections. His desire to hold Assembly Session in the Ram Lila Maidan was the start of the downward spiral. However this being the first mistake, people just ignored it.

2. His refusal to take the larger Chief-Ministerial accommodation, car and security was considered by the people not to be in good taste and cheap gimmick. His cost him the most. The fall of impression started here.

3. Public humiliation of a lady by an act of vigilante by one of his ministers was against the rule of law. Such mistake should not have been allowed to take place. When it had happened he could not do the proper damage control.

4. Invading the BJP office was seen by people as an act of vandalism. A people is known by the friends he keeps. Such associates cost Kejriwal a fortune.

5. The dharna at India Gate by Chief-Minister Kejriwal was too much. However in itself it was not enough to cause much damage to the image of “Kejriwal”. However it showed his immaturity and unpredictability. He should have adopted other methods to expose the corruption in the Delhi Police. By installing CCTV cameras at strategic locations like check-posts, he could have been able to show the rampant bribery in the Delhi Police.

6. His criticism of Narendra Modi was not likes by people. When you criticise anyone, you lose your own impression before causing any damage to the image of the person you are criticising. Therefore wise people do not indulge in criticism campaign by anyone. The correct way of criticising is just put some facts before the people. The keep silent. Do not express your reaction. For example, you show a sting operation video of bribe being taken. Then keep silent. Do not add your commentary like: “Look, these thoroughly immoral and corrupt people, how they have created a tower of corruption! They have no morality, and they will ruin the nation… “ etc etc. Thus, some 500 farmers have committed suicide in Gujarat was highlighted too much by him. However this was a tiny number compared to the number of the suicides by farmers committed in Maharashtra. People thought he is trying to mislead them. This was not needed.

7. Narendra Modi has a very strong image in most of the people’s minds. Instead of attacking Narendra Modi, he and his cadre should have focussed on attacking those leaders of BJP whom people really do not like, rather hate. Such leaders are: Rajnath Singh, Gadkari, Arun Jaitley, Sushma Swaraj and Anant Kumar. That approach would have not cost the AAP the loss of image which it suffered by criticising Narendra Modi baselessly.

8. The time has changed. When you play a caste card, you lose sympathy of the other castes. In the same way if you play the Muslim card, you lose votes of others. Show neutrality towards religious groups and castes. This is a very difficult terrain and very high level of skill is required for playing the caste and religion cards. Better avoid it.

9. He is not seen now as a leader. He is not leading his cadre now. His surrounding coterie is leading him now. Every organization including a state, a nation or a government needs real leaders, not someone who can be manipulated by his lieutenants.

10. Kejriwal is now considered an egoist. He does not tolerate his criticism by any of his colleagues. He needs to create an impression that he has his own vision, he is flexible and accommodates good ideas; he is intelligent and distinguish between good and bad ideas and can pre-judge the future implications and impact of any action he does. The reality is that he comes to know the effect of any action only after the action’s effect has badly damaged him.

Does Rajnath Singh Aspire to become the next Prime-Minister?

Comment on recent developments in the BJP since February 2014

 

http://indiatoday.intoday.in/story/rajnath-singh-pm-post-lucknow-lok-sabha-seat-narendra-modi-uttar-pradesh-bjp/1/341076.html

 

Only three important names namely Pappu Yadav, Mohammad Shahabuddin and Laloo Prasad Yadav were missing from the BJP’s list of candidates from Bihar for the 2014 Lok Sabha elections when it was released in March 2014. Everyone else from the 1991 V P Singh’s or Lok Dal’s team had been accommodated by the BJP. And these three were out probably because they could not fight the election as the result of their convictions by the courts of law for various crimes. The list contained such figures which had abused the BJP and Narendra Modi as communal till a few days back.

 

There were 40 Lok Sabha seats from Bihar where the BJP could fight the election and of course seeing the wave in favour of Narendra Modi, could have won at more than thirty five seats. However the leadership (read Rajnath Singh) decided to dole out 10 seats to those who had been well known for their past antipathy for Narendra Modi, and who posed secularism. Paswan, another VP Singh aide, got seven seats from BJP. Four of these were SC-reserved seats, where Paswan decided to erect himself, his two brothers and his son–Four from a family, a record in the history of family-politics in India.

 

Paswan’s all candidates had been defeated in the previous Lok Sabha election and he is no more a force in the caste politics or even crime-politics of Bihar. In fact, the four SC reserved seats could have been granted to four different SC castes, and four different Scheduled Castes could have been obliged by the party. Giving all the four to a single family was just a failed opportunity to broaden the caste base among the scheduled castes of Bihar. It is strange why Mayawati was not contacted and just left out! Mayawati has a better character and better public-base than Paswan. Even the thirty seats kept by BJP, only nine were given to the persons who actually belonged to the BJP, all other were given to the outsiders, who had only recently joined the BJP chasing power.

 

 

In Maharashtra, soon after that we see Gadkari, under advice by Rajnath, unnecessarily meeting the MNS chief and forging alliance with him. MNS is hated by Biharis because of the tyranny committed by the MNS cadres on to the poor workers of Bihar working in Maharashtra. Raj Thakre does not maintain any pretentions about his intense hate for this ‘dirty class of people’ also known as Bhaiya. Hence what was the need to contact him? The MNS supports Narendra Modi. However this would only have resulted in going to MNS some of the pro-Modi NDA votes. Also Biharis did not like this move. In fact this was not needed for getting more votes. As a back-lash, many of the Biharis in Maharashtra might have voted for the Congress/NCP we can guess. Even a couple of percent of votes makes the difference.

 

The million pound question or the mystery is why did Rajnath Singh give BJP tickets to so many anti-BJP, anti-Hindutva people? Well it is no mystery by now. Answer is clear. He wanted to play Chandrashekhar, in case the party failed to win the adequate numbers. Rajnath can stake the claim to Prime-Minister-ship with the help of these people who are not loyal to RSS or any other BJP leader but Rajnath Singh.

 

The game was two-fold. Give tickets to such candidates that no more than 160 candidates win. Even if the figure 160 is crossed the BJP proper winning candidates should not be more than 150. And if they win more in numbers, then Rajnath Singh should have a secularist majority. In event of post-election dispute between Rajnath and Narendra Modi, the Rajput MPs would back Rajnath. Hence Rajputs were given tickets liberally. Brahmins and Bhumihars are generally NaMo loyalist. They were wiped out from the party-ticket list wherever possible. If they could not be ignored, they were given inconvenient constituencies. However even the Rajputs which were loyal to RSS ideology or NaMo were not given tickets examples being Radha-Nandan Singh and Jaswant Singh.

 

And if needed Rajnath planned to play the VP Singh game: favouring the reservation for the OBCs in the Private Sector. At this point the new entrants from RJD and JDU like Ran Kripal Yadav and other new allies like Upendra Kushwaha and Ran Bilas Paswan will take his side and the older guards will just have to watch as silent spectators. Raja Ram and Ram Bilas would to support such move.

सुशील कुमार मोदी एक आधुनिक वर्षकार

एक सुशील कुमार मोदी  ने भाजपा को आने वाले दिनों में बर्बाद कर देने के लिए एक ऐसी साजिश रची है जो वर्षकार ही कर सकता था। संभव है वे नीतीश कुमार के वर्षकार हों।

 

एक ही परिवार के चार व्यक्तियों को बिहार में लोक सभा के टिकट दिलवा कर सुशील मोदी ने भाजपा को इस लायक ही नहीं छोड़ा कि भाजपा अब कभी भी परिवार-वाद का विरोध कर पाये। यह एक ऐसी हालत है मानो कोई घर-वधू अपने पति के हाथों वेश्यावृत्ति करती हुई पकड़ी गयी हो।

 

पासवान के माध्यम से तीन बाहुबलियों को लोक-सभा में आने का रस्ता खोल कर, सुशील मोदी ने भाजपा का मुंह राजनीति के अपराधीकरण विषय पर खोलने से हमेशा के लिए बन्द कर दिया है। नरेन्द्र मोदी भले ही इस बात को नहीं देख पा रहे हों फिर भी हिन्दी फ़िल्मों की ज़ुबान में यही कहना होगा कि “दुश्मन न करे दोस्त ने वो काम किया है”